October 20, 2017
After the previously 5-1 Kansas City Chiefs lost on an Oakland Raiders TD pass from Derek Carr to Michael Crabtree with no time left on the clock Thursday night, the Eagles were left as the only one-loss team in the NFL.
Still, there isn't much of a cushion between the Birds and the rest of the league, as there is a 14-team cluster of two-loss teams directly below them. They are as follows:
| Team | Record | Winning % |
| Eagles | 5-1 | .833 |
| Chiefs | 5-2 | .714 |
| Patriots | 4-2 | .667 |
| Steelers | 4-2 | .667 |
| Vikings | 4-2 | .667 |
| Packers | 4-2 | .667 |
| Rams | 4-2 | .667 |
| Panthers | 4-2 | .667 |
| Bills | 3-2 | .600 |
| Dolphins | 3-2 | .600 |
| Broncos | 3-2 | .600 |
| Seahawks | 3-2 | .600 |
| Saints | 3-2 | .600 |
| Falcons | 3-2 | .600 |
| Redskins | 3-2 | .600 |
Still, after six games, the Eagles are in an excellent position to make the playoffs this season. Football Outsiders projects the Eagles as finishing with 11.5 wins, with a 92.1 percent chance of making the playoffs this season. Here are some additional probabilities, via Football Outsiders:
• Chance of winning the NFC East: 78.3 percent
• Chance of earning a first-round bye: 60.9 percent
• Chance of earning a wildcard spot: 13.8 percent
• Chance of being the No. 1 seed: 41.6 percent
• Chance of being the No. 2 seed: 19.3 percent
• Chance of being the No. 3 seed: 11.1 percent
• Chance of being the No. 4 seed: 6.3 percent
• Chance of being the No. 5 seed: 9.1 percent
• Chance of being the No. 6 seed: 4.7 percent
Here's how the Eagles' odds of making the playoffs compare with the rest of the NFC:
| Team | Chance of making playoffs | Team | Chance of making playoffs |
| Eagles | 92.1% | Falcons | 41.7% |
| Rams | 69.3% | Packers | 28.0% |
| Vikings | 68.2% | Cowboys | 12.0% |
| Saints | 56.7% | Buccaneers | 10.8% |
| Seahawks | 56.6% | Cardinals | 7.4% |
| Panthers | 56.4% | Bears | 1.3% |
| Redskins | 51.7% | Giants | 0.7% |
| Lions | 47.0% | 49ers | 0.1% |
FiveThirtyEight.com also projects the Eagles to have 11.5 wins, though they are not quite as bullish on the Eagles' chances of making the playoffs as Football Outsiders. Here's how FiveThirtyEight sees it:
| Team | Chance of making playoffs | Team | Chance of making playoffs |
| Eagles | 88% | Rams | 33% |
| Packers | 69% | Cardinals | 32% |
| Seahawks | 65% | Redskins | 31% |
| Vikings | 56% | Cowboys | 23% |
| Falcons | 56% | Buccaneers | 10% |
| Saints | 51% | Giants | 4% |
| Panthers | 45% | Bears | 2% |
| Lions | 34% | 49ers | <1% |
I'm not sure how the Packers have the second-best probability to make the playoffs with Aaron Rodgers gone for the season, but that might help explain how FiveThirtyEight had me convinced that Hillary Clinton was going to run away with the presidential election.
Follow Jimmy on Twitter: @JimmyKempski.
Like Jimmy on Facebook.
Like the new PhillyVoice Sports page on Facebook.
