January 26, 2023
On Wednesday, the original "draftnik," ESPN's Mel Kiper, published his first mock draft of the offseason. I can say with a high level of certainty that it will be very, very wrong. Mock drafts are what they are – a good way to learn a little something about the top prospects who will be selected in or around the first round of the draft. If you're looking for accuracy, forget it, though he did actually get six of the first seven picks right in 2020, four months before the draft. Respect!
This isn't to goof on Kiper – OK, maybe a tiny bit – but just for fun let's take a look at who your team would have drafted if Kiper were 100 percent accurate on his mock drafts since 2010. Note: We used to update this post every year, but we haven't done it in three years, so we're due.
Kiper: LB Navorro Bowman, OT Gabe Carimi, LB Luke Kuechly, CB Dee Milliner, WR Kelvin Benjamin, CB Marcus Peters, DT Robert Nkemdiche, CB Quincy Wilson, OT Kolton Miller, DE Montez Sweat, WR Tee Higgins, WR Jaylen Waddle, LB Devin Lloyd, DE Arnold Ebiketie, WR Chris Olave.
Actual: DE Brandon Graham, OG Danny Watkins, DT Fletcher Cox, Lane Johnson, OLB Marcus Smith, WR Nelson Agholor, QB Carson Wentz, DE Derek Barnett, OT Andre Dillard, Jalen Reagor, DeVonta Smith, Jordan Davis.
Kiper: OT Bruce Campbell, CB Prince Amukamara, OG David DeCastro, OG Jonathan Cooper, S Ha Ha Clinton-Dix, DT Jordan Phillips, DT DeForest Buckner, CB Sidney Jones, DT Vita Vea, CB C.J. Henderson, OT Rashawn Slater, DE Travon Walker.
Actual: WR Dez Bryant, OT Tyron Smith, CB Morris Claiborne, C Travis Frederick, OG Zack Martin, DB Byron Jones, RB Ezekiel Elliott, DE Taco Charlton, LB Leighton Vander Esch, CeeDee Lamb, Micah Parsons, Tyler Smith.
Kiper: QB Sam Bradford, QB Cam Newton, CB Morris Claiborne, DE Randy Gregory, CB Mackensie Alexander, S Malik Hooker, QB Baker Mayfield, DE Jachai Polite, DE Chase Young, WR Kadarius Toney, QB Malik Willis.
Actual: OT Trent Williams, OLB Ryan Kerrigan, QB Robert Griffin III, OG Brandon Scherff, WR Josh Doctson, DT Jonathan Allen, DT Da'Ron Payne, QB Dwayne Haskins, OLB Montez Sweat, DE Chase Young, LB Jamin Davis, WR Jahan Dotson.
Kiper: DE Carlos Dunlap, C Mike Pouncey, OT Zebrie Sanders, DE Sam Montgomery, LB C.J. Mosley, OG Brandon Scherff, LB Myles Jack, OT Ryan Ramczyk, QB Josh Rosen, QB Dwayne Haskins, LB Isaiah Simmons, TE Kyle Pitts, OT Ikem Ekwonu, DE David Ojabo.
Actual: DE Jason Pierre-Paul, CB Prince Amukamara, RB David Wilson, OT Justin Pugh, WR Odell Beckham, OT Ereck Flowers, CB Eli Apple, TE Evan Engram, RB Saquon Barkley, QB Daniel Jones, DT Dexter Lawrence, CB Deandre Baker, OT Andrew Thomas, WR Kadarius Toney, DE Kayvon Thibodeaux, OT Evan Neal.
Kiper: CB Aaron Williams, WR Michael Floyd, TE Tyler Eifert, DT Timmy Jernigan, S Landon Collins, LB Reggie Ragland, DT Jonathan Allen, WR Calvin Ridley, OT Teven Jenkins.
Actual: OT Gabe Carimi, DE Shea McClellin, OG Kyle Long, CB Kyle Fuller, WR Kevin White, DE Leonard Floyd, QB Mitchell Trubisky, LB Roquan Smith, QB Justin Fields.
Kiper: DT Gerald McCoy, DE Akeem Ayers, LB Zach Brown, LB Jarvis Jones, CB Justin Gilbert, DT Malcom Brown, DT Jarran Reed, OLB Tim Williams, DE Sam Hubbard, LB Devin White, CB Jeff Okudah, QB Justin Fields, DE Kayvon Thibodeaux, QB Sam Howell.
Actual: DT Ndamukong Suh, RB Jahvid Best, DT Nick Fairley, OT Riley Reiff, DE Ezekiel Ansah, TE, Eric Ebron, OG Laken Tomlinson, OT Taylor Decker, LB Jarrad Davis, C Frank Ragnow, TE T.J. Hockenson, CB Jeff Okudah, OT Penei Sewell, DE Aidan Hutchinson, WR Jameson Williams.
Kiper: S Taylor Mays, DT Christian Ballard, LB Whitney Mercilus, TE Zach Ertz, S Calvin Pryor, DT Eddie Goldman, DT Austin Johnson, RB Christian McCaffrey, DE Marcus Davenport, DE Clelin Ferrell, WR Parris Campbell, KJ Hamler, CB Tyson Campbell, TE Trey McBride.
Actual: OT Bryan Bulaga, OT Derek Sherrod, LB Nick Perry, DE Datone Jones, Ha Ha Clinton-Dix, Damarious Randall, DT Kenny Clark, CB Jaire Alexander, DL Rashan Gary, S Darnell Savage, QB Jordan Love, CB Eric Stokes, LB Quay Walker, DT Devonte Wyatt.
Kiper: CB Patrick Robinson, OT Nate Solder, OT Matt Kalil, WR Terrance Williams, QB Teddy Bridgewater, WR DeVante Parker, WR Josh Doctson, OT Connor Williams, OT Greg Little, OT Josh Jones, OG Alijah Vera-Tucker, CB Sauce Gardner.
Actual: QB Christian Ponder, OT Matt Kalil, S Harrison Smith, DT Sharrif Floyd, CB Xavier Rhodes, WR Cordarrelle Patterson, OLB Anthony Barr, QB Teddy Bridgewater, CB Trae Waynes, WR Laquon Treadwell, CB Mike Hughes, C Garrett Bradbury, WR Justin Jefferson, CB Jeff Gladney, OT Christian Darrisaw, S Lewis Cine.
Kiper: S Eric Berry, LB Ryan Kerrigan, RB Trent Richardson, LB Alec Ogletree, LB Khalil Mack, QB Jameis Winston, CB Vernon Hargreaves, DE Taco Charlton, OG Quenton Nelson, OT Jonah Williams, OT Tristan Wirfs, DE Joe Tryon-Shoyinka, DT DeMarvin Leal.
Actual: DT Gerald McCoy, DE Adrian Clayborn, S Mark Barron, RB Doug Martin, WR Mike Evans, QB Jameis Winston, CB Vernon Hargreaves, TE O.J. Howard, DT Vita Vea, LB Devin White, OT Tristan Wirfs, DE Joe Tryon-Shoyinka.
Kiper: LB Sergio Kindle, WR Torrey Smith, DE Margus Hunt, LB Anthony Barr, DE Dante Fowler Jr, DE Kevin Dodd, DE Derek Barnett, WR Christian Kirk, DT Ed Oliver, A.J. Epenesa, QB Zach Wilson, CB Derek Stingley.
Actual: LB Sean Weatherspoon, WR Julio Jones, CB Desmond Trufant, OT Jake Matthews, DE Vic Beasley, S Keanu Neal, DE Takkarist McKinley, WR Calvin Ridley, OG Chris Lindstrom, OT Kaleb McGary, CB AJ Terrell, TE Kyle Pitts, WR Drake London.
Kiper: DT Nick Fairley, CB Dre Kirkpatrick, DT Sheldon Richardson, WR Brandin Cooks, OT Andrus Peat, DE Emmanuel Ogbah, RB Leonard Fournette, C Billy Price, DE Brian Burns, DT Derrick Brown, QB Trey Lance, OT Charles Cross.
Actual: QB Cam Newton, LB Luke Kuechly, DT Star Lotulelei, WR Kelvin Benjamin, LB Shaq Thompson, DT Vernon Butler, RB Christian McCaffrey, WR D.J. Moore, DE Brian Burns, DT Derrick Brown, CB Jaycee Horn, OT Ikem Ekwonu.
Kiper: DT Jared Odrick, LB Justin Houston, DT Johnathan Hankins, OT Antonio Richardson, DE Vic Beasley, DT A'Shawn Robinson, LB Reuben Foster, WR Courtland Sutton, QB Jordan Love, S Trevon Moehrig, Kenny Pickett.
Actual: CB Patrick Robinson, DE Cameron Jordan, RB Mark Ingram, S Kenny Vaccaro, WR Brandin Cooks, OT Andrus Peat, LB Stephone Anthony, DT Sheldon Rankins, CB Marshon Lattimore, OT Ryan Ramczyk, DE Marcus Davenport, C Cesar Ruiz, DE Payton Turner, WR Chris Olave, OT Trevor Penning.
Kiper: OT Trent Williams, S Earl Thomas, DE Robert Quinn, WR Alshon Jeffery, DT Sharrif Floyd, WR Odell Beckham Jr, WR Kevin White, WR Laquon Treadwell, QB Mitchell Trubisky, CB Denzel Ward, LB Josh Allen, S Grant Delpit, CB Patrick Surtain.
Actual: OT Anthony Davis, OG Mike Iupati, LB Aldon Smith, WR A.J. Jenkins, S Eric Reid, S Jimmie Ward, DE Arik Armstead, DE DeForest Buckner, DE Solomon Thomas, LB Reuben Foster, OT Mike McGlinchey, DE Nick Bosa, DT Javon Kinlaw, WR Brandon Aiyuk, QB Trey Lance.
Kiper: DT Dan Williams, QB Blaine Gabbert, OT Jonathan Martin, OG Chance Warmack, OG Zack Martin, RB Melvin Gordon, OLB Leonard Floyd, CB Teez Tabor, CB Josh Jackson, DE Nick Bosa, OT Andrew Thomas, CB Caleb Farley, DE George Karlaftis.
Actual: DT Dan Williams, CB Patrick Peterson, WR Michael Floyd, OG Jonathan Cooper, LB Deone Bucannon, OT D.J. Humphries, DT Robert Nkemdiche, LB Haason Reddick, QB Josh Rosen, QB Kyler Murray, LB Isaiah Simmons, LB Zaven Collins.
Kiper: DT Ndamukong Suh, WR Julio Jones, WR Justin Blackmon, S Kenny Vaccaro, OT DJ Fluker, OT Jake Matthews, WR Mike Evans, OG TJ Clemmings, QB Paxton Lynch, CB Carlton Davis, DT Dre'Mont Jones.
Actual: QB Sam Bradford, DE Robert Quinn, DT Michael Brockers, WR Tavon Austin, OT Greg Robinson, DT Aaron Donald, RB Todd Gurley, QB Jared Goff.
Kiper: DE Derrick Morgan, RB C.J. Spiller, QB Ryan Mallett, RB Melvin Ingram, DT John Jenkins, WR Allen Robinson, WR Devin Smith, CB Eli Apple, CB Cordrea Tankersley, S Derwin James, DE Oshane Ximines, LB Zack Baun.
Actual: OT Russell Okung, OG James Carpenter, DE Bruce Irvin, OG Germain Ifedi, RB Rashaad Penny, DE L.J. Collier, LB Jordyn Brooks, OT Charles Cross.
Kiper: QB Jimmy Clausen, DT Marcell Dareus, LB Courtney Upshaw, LB Manti Te'o, OT Greg Robinson, DT Jonathan Allen, QB Deshaun Watson, CB Mike Hughes, DT Maurice Hurst, DL Rashan Gary, WR Laviska Shenault, RB Najee Harris, CB Trent McDuffie.
Actual: RB C.J. Spiller, DT Marcell Dareus, CB Stephon Gilmore, QB E.J. Manuel, WR Sammy Watkins, DE Shaq Lawson, CB Tre'Davious White, QB Josh Allen, LB Tremaine Edmunds, DT Ed Oliver, DE Gregory Rousseau, CB Kaiir Elam.
Kiper: LB Rolando McClain, RB Mark Ingram, OT Riley Reiff, WR Cordarrelle Patterson, OT Cyrus Kouandjio, LB Shaq Thompson, DE Shaq Lawson, LB Jarrad Davis, OT Mike McGlinchey, QB Kyler Murray, QB Tua Tagovailoa, LB K'Lavon Chaisson, RB D'Andre Swift, WR Ja'Marr Chase, LB Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah, WR Jahan Dotson.
Actual: DE Jared Odrick, C Mike Pouncey, QB Ryan Tannehill, DE Dion Jordan, OT Ja'Wuan James, WR DeVante Parker, OT Laremy Tunsil, DE Charles Harris, CB Minkah Fitzpatrick, DT Christian Wilkins, QB Tua Tagovailoa, OT Austin Jackson, CB Noah Igbinoghene, WR Jaylen Waddle, LB Jaelan Phillips.
Kiper: WR Golden Tate, DT Muhammad Wilkerson, S Mark Barron, LB Barkevious Mingo, WR Marqise Lee, OLB Shane Ray, LB Jaylon Smith, CB Marshon Lattimore, CB Minkah Fitzpatrick, DT Quinnen Williams, OT Jedrick Wills, WR DeVonta Smith, CB Jaycee Horn, S Kyle Hamilton, WR Drake London.
Actual: CB Kyle Wilson, DT Muhammad Wilkerson, Quinton Coples, CB Dee Milliner, DE Sheldon Richardson, S Calvin Pryor, DE Leonard Williams, LB Darron Lee, S Jamal Adams, QB Sam Darnold, DT Quinnen Williams, OT Mekhi Becton, QB Zach Wilson, OG Alijah Vera-Tucker, CB Sauce Gardner, WR Garrett Wilson, Jermaine Johnson.
Kiper: LB Ricky Sapp, DE J.J. Watt, RB Mikel LeShoure, DT Michael Brockers, DE Andre Branch, WR DeAndre Hopkins, TE Jace Amaro, OG A.J. Cann, vacated pick (caught cheating), TE O.J. Howard, DE Rasheem Green, QB Daniel Jones, S Xavier McKinney, QB Mac Jones, WR Jameson Williams.
Actual: S Devin McCourty, OT Nate Solder, DT Dominique Easley, DT Malcom Brown, vacated pick (caught cheating), OG Isaiah Wynn, RB Sony Michel, WR N'Keal Harry, QB Mac Jones, OG Cole Strange.
Kiper: TE Aaron Hernandez, DE Da'Quon Bowers, CB Alfonzo Dennard, RB Lamar Miller, RB Montee Ball, CB Darqueze Dennard, DE Bud Dupree, WR Will Fuller, DE Solomon Thomas, LB Tremaine Edmonds, OT Jawaan Taylor, QB Joe Burrow, OT Penei Sewell, OT Trevor Penning.
Actual: TE Jermaine Gresham, WR A.J. Green, CB Dre Kirkpatrick, TE Tyler Eifert, CB Darqueze Dennard, OT Cedric Ogbuehi, CB William Jackson, WR John Ross, C Billy Price, OT Jonah Williams, QB Joe Burrow, WR Ja'Marr Chase, S Daxton Hill.
Kiper: CB Joe Haden, WR A.J. Green, QB Robert Griffin III, WR Kendall Wright, DE Bjoern Werner, QB Blake Bortles, RB Carlos Hyde, DT Danny Shelton, OT Ereck Flowers, QB Jared Goff, DE Myles Garrett, RB Dalvin Cook, QB Josh Allen, RB Saquon Barkley, DT Jeffery Simmons, OT Mekhi Becton, CB Aaron Robinson, WR Garrett Wilson.
Actual: CB Joe Haden, DT Phillip Taylor, RB Trent Richardson, QB Brandon Weeden, OLB Barkevious Mingo, CB Justin Gilbert, QB Johnny Manziel, DT Danny Shelton, OT Cameron Erving, WR Corey Coleman, DE Myles Garrett, S Jabrill Peppers, TE David Njoku, QB Baker Mayfield, CB Denzel Ward, OT Jedrick Wills, CB Greg Newsome.
Kiper: TE Jermaine Gresham, CB Brandon Harris, LB Vontaze Burfict, LB Kevin Minter, TE Eric Ebron, WR Devin Funchess, OT Ronnie Stanley, S Jabrill Peppers, OT Brian O'Neill, WR A.J. Brown, LB Patrick Queen, WR Terrace Marshall, C Tyler Linderbaum.
Actual: CB Jimmy Smith, S Matt Elam, LB C.J. Mosley, WR Brashad Perriman, OT Ronnie Stanley, CB Marlon Humphrey, TE Hayden Hurst, QB Lamar Jackson, WR Marquise Brown, LB Patrick Queen, WR Rashod Bateman, S Kyle Hamilton, C Tyler Linderbaum.
Kiper: OT Bryan Bulaga, OT Tyron Smith, DT Dontari Poe, DE Ezekiel Ansah, DT Louis Nix III, CB Kevin Johnson, CB Kendall Fuller, OLB Charles Harris, LB Rashaan Evans, LB Devin Bush, LB Zaven Collins, QB Matt Corral.
Actual: C Maurkice Pouncey, DE Cameron Heyward, OG David DeCastro, OLB Jarvis Jones, LB Ryan Shazier, OLB Bud Dupree, CB Artie Burns, OLB T.J. Watt, S Terrell Edmunds, LB Devin Bush, RB Najee Harris, QB Kenny Pickett.
Kiper: DE Brandon Graham, OT Anthony Castonzo, QB Andrew Luck, OT Menelik Watson, WR Jaelen Strong, OT Taylor Decker, OLB Takkarist McKinley, DE Bradley Chubb, DT Dexter Lawrence, WR Jerry Jeudy, DE Kwity Paye.
Actual: DE Jerry Hughes, OT Anthony Castonzo, QB Andrew Luck, DE Bjoern Werner, WR Phillip Dorsett, C Ryan Kelly, S Malik Hooker, OG Quenton Nelson, DE Kwity Paye.
Kiper: DE Jason Pierre-Paul, DE Adrian Clayborn, DE Quinton Coples, DE Damontre Moore, DE Jadeveon Clowney, DT Leonard Williams, CB Jalen Ramsey, S Jamal Adams, TE Mark Andrews, OT Cody Ford, DT Javon Kinlaw, TE Cole Kmet, QB Trevor Lawrence, DT Christian Barmore, DE Aidan Hutchinson.
Actual: DT Tyson Alualu, QB Blaine Gabbert, WR Justin Blackmon, OT Luke Joeckel, QB Blake Bortles, LB Dante Fowler, CB Jalen Ramsey, RB Leonard Fournette, DT Taven Bryan, LB Josh Allen, CB C.J. Henderson, QB Trevor Lawrence, RB Travis Etienne, DE Travon Walker, LB Devin Lloyd.
Kiper: DT Brian Price, OLB Aldon Smith, WR Mohamed Sanu, WR Keenan Allen, QB Johnny Manziel, CB Trae Waynes, QB Carson Wentz, S Budda Baker, CB Byron Murphy, OT Evan Neal.
Actual: CB Kareem Jackson, DE J.J. Watt, LB Whitney Mercilus, WR DeAndre Hopkins, DE Jadeveon Clowney, CB Kevin Johnson, WR Will Fuller, QB Deshaun Watson, OT Tytus Howard, CB Derek Stingley, OT Kenyon Green.
Kiper: DE Everson Griffen, LB Von Miller, LB Nick Perry, DE Dion Jordan, OT Taylor Lewan, QB Marcus Mariota, DE Joey Bosa, WR Mike Williams, CB Marlon Humphrey, LB Harold Landry, TE T.J. Hockenson, DE Yetur Gross-Matos, DE Gregory Rousseau, CB Kyler Gordon.
Actual: DE Derrick Morgan, QB Jake Locker, WR Kendall Wright, OG Chance Warmack, OT Taylor Lewan, QB Marcus Mariota, Jack Conklin, WR Corey Davis, CB Adoree Jackson, LB Rashaan Evans, DT Jeffery Simmons, OT Isaiah Wilson, CB Caleb Farley, WR Treylon Burks.
Kiper: WR Dez Bryant, CB Patrick Peterson, DT Fletcher Cox, CB Xavier Rhodes, DE Scott Crichton, LB Benardrick McKinney, RB Ezekiel Elliott, OT Garrett Bolles, QB Sam Darnold, CB Deandre Baker, WR Henry Ruggs, LB Micah Parsons, LB Nakobe Dean.
Actual: WR Demaryius Thomas, QB Tim Tebow, OLB Von Miller, DT Sylvester Williams, CB Bradley Roby, DE Shane Ray, QB Paxton Lynch, OT Garrett Bolles, DE Bradley Chubb, TE Noah Fant, WR Jerry Jeudy, CB Patrick Surtain.
Kiper: RB Jonathan Dwyer, DE Cameron Jordan, OT Cordy Glenn, OT Eric Fisher, CB Bradley Roby, DE Arik Armstead, OT Laremy Tunsil, OT Cam Robinson, DT Da'Ron Payne, DT Christian Wilkins, QB Justin Herbert, OT Christian Darrisaw, DT Jordan Davis.
Actual: RB Ryan Mathews, DE Corey Liuget, LB Melvin Ingram, OT D.J. Fluker, CB Jason Verrett, RB Melvin Gordon, DE Joey Bosa, WR Mike Williams, S Derwin James, DL Jerry Tillery, QB Justin Herbert, OT Rashawn Slater, OL Zion Johnson.
Kiper: OT Russell Okung, DT Stephen Paea, DT Devon Still, OT Luke Joeckel, DE Stephen Tuitt, Dorial Green-Beckham, DT Kenny Clark, WR Corey Davis, S Deionte Thompson, CB Noah Igbinoghene, LB Azeez Ojulari, DE Cameron Thomas.
Actual: S Eric Berry, WR Jonathan Baldwin, NT Dontari Poe, OT Eric Fisher, DE Dee Ford, CB Marcus Peters, QB Patrick Mahomes, RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire, CB Trent McDuffie, DE George Karlaftis.
Kiper: OT Anthony Davis, DT Star Lotulelei, WR Sammy Watkins, WR Amari Cooper, OT Jack Conklin, DT Malik McDowell, Roquan Smith, CB Greedy Williams, WR Marquise Brown, TE Irv Smith Jr., WR CeeDee Lamb, LB Kenneth Murray, LB Jaelen Phillips, CB Andrew Booth.
Actual: LB Rolando McClain, CB D.J. Hayden , OLB Khalil Mack, WR Amari Cooper, S Karl Joseph, CB Gareon Conley, OT Kolton Miller, DE Clelin Ferrell, RB Josh Jacobs, S Johnathan Abram, WR Henry Ruggs, CB Damon Arnette, OL Alex Leatherwood.
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