May 05, 2015
As we covered at length yesterday, the Eagles' biggest mistake of the 2014 offseason (and perhaps also the 2013 offseason) may eventually turn out to be their failure to bring in quality talent along the offensive line.
If anything, I thought I was going a long way to state the obvious in that article, which is, (cups hand in front of mouth for better acoustics)...
"THE EAGLES HAVE THE OLDEST OFFENSIVE LINE IN THE NFL AND HAVEN'T DRAFTED ANY OFFENSIVE LINEMEN THE LAST TWO YEARS."
Feedback from that piece has not been received well. If you disagree with things I wrote, *you're dumb and I hate you.
We summed up the Eagles' short-term and long-term issues on the OL like so:
• In the short term, the Eagles will be in decent shape if everyone stays healthy. If they don't stay healthy, they'll be counting on undrafted free agents and marginal NFL roster-worthy players to provide their depth along the OL. It has the strong potential to cost them games, like it did in 2014.
• In the long term, the Eagles don't have much to be excited about on their bench in terms of future starters, which is obviously not ideal, seeing as they have three positions where they will need replacements in the immediate future. Replacing three starters on the OL in a short amount of time is extremely difficult, and even IF the Eagles are able to find quality replacements, it'll take time for the new unit to develop rapport, which again, is not easy. Had they added young talent to the mix, those young players could be developed and acclimated to the Eagles' offensive scheme, with an eye toward inserting them in as starters in 2016 or 2017. Instead, the Eagles are going to have to replace a bunch of starters along the OL simultaneously when the older guys experience an inevitable decline.
The above conclusions were backed by a mountain of supporting facts, which again, felt like overkill to make a seemingly obvious point.
I'll address the two most common rebuttals I've received over the last two days:
This is true. Jason Peters was originally an undrafted free agent of the Buffalo Bills, although the Eagles traded a first-round pick, a fourth-round pick and a sixth-round pick to acquire him. And yes, Jason Kelce was a former sixth-round pick. So yes, good offensive linemen can certainly be had in later rounds. This is true of literally every position in the NFL. Name a position, and I'll give you a really good undrafted free agent who has had success in the NFL.
In 2014, there were 30 offensive linemen who received at least one All-Pro vote. The following is a list of those players, and where they were drafted:
Player | Position | Round | Overall |
Joe Thomas, Browns | OT | 1 | 3 |
Trent Williams, Redskins | OT | 1 | 4 |
Lane Johnson | OT | 1 | 4 |
Tyron Smith, Cowboys | OT | 1 | 9 |
Ryan Clady, Broncos | OT | 1 | 12 |
Zack Martin, Cowboys | OG | 1 | 16 |
Mike Iupati, Cardinals | OG | 1 | 17 |
Maurkice Pouncey, Steelers | C | 1 | 18 |
Kyle Long, Bears | OG | 1 | 20 |
Bryan Bulaga, Packers | OT | 1 | 23 |
James Carpenter, Seahawks | OG | 1 | 25 |
Joe Staley, 49ers | OT | 1 | 28 |
Nick Mangold, Jets | C | 1 | 29 |
Travis Frederick, Cowboys | C | 1 | 31 |
Joel Bitonio, Browns | OG | 2 | 35 |
Andrew Whitworth, Bengals | OT | 2 | 55 |
Rodney Hudson, Chiefs | C | 2 | 55 |
Sebastian Vollmer, Patriots | OT | 2 | 58 |
Ryan Kalil, Panthers | C | 2 | 59 |
Jared Veldheer, Cardinals | OT | 3 | 69 |
Louis Vasquez, Broncos | OG | 3 | 78 |
Evan Mathis, Eagles | OG | 3 | 79 |
Marshal Yanda, Ravens | OG | 3 | 86 |
Jahri Evans, Saints | OG | 4 | 108 |
Josh Sitton, Packers | OG | 4 | 135 |
Corey Linsley, Packers | C | 5 | 161 |
Ricky Wagner, Ravens | OT | 5 | 168 |
Jason Kelce, Eagles | C | 6 | 191 |
Jason Peters, Eagles | OT | N/A | Undrafted |
Dan Connolly, Patriots | OG | N/A | Undrafted |
The final tally:
• 14 players were drafted in the first round.
• 5 players were drafted in the second round.
• 4 players were drafted in the third round.
• 2 players were drafted in the fourth round.
• 2 players were drafted in the fifth round.
• 1 player was drafted in the sixth round.
• 0 players were drafted in the seventh round.
• 2 players were undrafted free agents.
What does that all mean?
It means that just because you can get extremely lucky and find a great offensive lineman off the street like the Bills did with Peters, it doesn't mean it's likely.
Now, I already know what the next rebuttal will be, which will go something like, "But the media votes for those guys, and they are going to be biased toward first-round picks because they have no idea how to evaluate line play." OK, maybe. But if you're going to make that argument, please come armed with the names of a few undrafted free agent offensive linemen not included above that are better than the first-round picks listed.
The above stat has been pointed out to me endlessly over the last day, but it makes no sense. Most NFL teams carry somewhere between 8-10 offensive linemen on their 53-man rosters. 57 offensive linemen among four teams averages out to 14.25 offensive linemen per team. So yes, if we're counting players who are either on practice squads, or other guys who will never see an NFL field during a regular season game, then yes, there is going to be a high number of offensive linemen on every single roster in the NFL.
However, the notion that those four teams are winning with undrafted free agents is nonsense. Here are the starters on those four teams, and where they were drafted.
Player | Position | Round | Overall |
Russell Okung, Seahawks | OT | 1 | 6 |
Nate Solder, Patriots | OT | 1 | 17 |
Gosder Cherilus, Colts | OT | 1 | 17 |
Anthony Castonzo, Colts | OT | 1 | 22 |
Bryan Bulaga, Packers | OT | 1 | 23 |
James Carpenter, Seahawks | OG | 1 | 25 |
Max Unger, Seahawks | C | 2 | 49 |
Sebastian Vollmer, Patriots | OT | 2 | 58 |
Jack Mewhort, Colts | OG | 2 | 59 |
Justin Britt, Seahawks | OT | 2 | 64 |
Hugh Thornton, Colts | OG | 3 | 86 |
Bryan Stork, Patriots | C | 4 | 105 |
David Bakhtiari, Packers | OT | 4 | 109 |
T.J. Lang, Packers | OG | 4 | 109 |
Khaled Holmes, Colts | C | 4 | 121 |
Josh Sitton, Packers | OG | 4 | 135 |
Corey Linsley, Packers | C | 5 | 161 |
J.R. Sweezey, Seahawks | OG | 7 | 225 |
Dan Connolly, Patriots | OG | N/A | Undrafted |
Ryan Wendell, Patriots | OG | N/A | Undrafted |
Two starters on the "final four" teams were UDFAs. Not 50 percent. Two. 10 percent. And 16 of the 20 (80 percent) were at least fourth-round picks.
Please don't make me write Part III.
Follow Jimmy on Twitter: @JimmyKempski
*Just kidding, I love you all.